Seychelles

The country card for Seychelles: the growth identity’s three terms, population and output, external debt by creditor and the data-quality flag, each with its source.
SYC Victoria · East Africa Confidence: medium
Growth-pole chapters
no growth-pole chapter
Pole types
none assigned
Regional communities
SADC, COMESA
Currency
SCR (SR), floating
Official languages
en, fr, crs

VintagesWEO April 2026WDI pulled 25 October 2026IDS 2025 (December 2025 release)WPP 2024, medium variantLast refreshed 25 October 2026About the data

The identity

GDP growth is output-per-worker growth plus growth in the employment-to-working-age ratio plus working-age population growth. All three are annual growth rates, so the bar adds.

0Working-age population (15-64): +2.24% a yearOutput per worker: not yet fetchednot yetEmployment-to-working-age ratio: not yet fetchednot yetobserved: +4.36% a yearobserved +4.36%= 1 percentage point a year2 of 3 terms not yet fetched, so no sum is drawn
Growth accounting over 2014-2024. Terms stack away from zero and add to the implied growth rate, which is marked against observed GDP growth on the same scale. A hatched block is a term not yet on the card: it is parked at the right, carries no width, and holds the sum back rather than letting a missing number pass as zero.
  • Output per workernot yet fetched
  • Employment-to-working-age rationot yet fetched
  • Working-age population (15-64)+2.24%
  • Observed GDP growth+4.36%
  • Implied (the three terms summed)not yet computable
Overlay (beside the bar, never inside it) Value
Wage employment share not yet fetched
Non-agricultural employment share not yet fetched
Employment rate, women not yet fetched
Employment rate, men not yet fetched
Youth not in employment, education or training 16.9%
Productivity growth, within-sector not yet fetched
Productivity growth, between-sector not yet fetched
Wage employment source not yet fetched

Generative-AI exposure: 3.1 percent of employment in the most exposed occupations (gradient 4 of the ILO's 2025 index). This is the book's estimate, not an ILO figure: the index's occupation gradients weighted by labour-force survey employment in two-digit occupation groups, 2025. Beside the bar, never inside it: it is a share, not a growth rate.

Population path

130k2024142k2050116k2100
Total population, three WPP 2024 medium-variant anchor years. The cards carry totals only, not age structure, so this is a path and not a pyramid.
  • Population, 2024130 thousand
  • Population, 2050142 thousand
  • Population, 2100116 thousand
  • Median age34.0 years
  • Total fertility rate2.11 births per woman
  • Dependency ratio39.8 per 100 of working age

Output

Levels are the IMF’s April 2026 estimates for 2025, with the World Bank’s most recent published year standing in where the IMF publishes no figure for this country. Observed growth is over the same window as the identity above, and the forecast runs five years out.

Field Value
GDP $2.3bn
GDP per capita $18,479
GDP at PPP $4.4bn
Observed GDP growth +4.36%
GDP growth, five-year forecast +3.08%
Urban share 45.5%
Informal employment share 14.2%
Largest city Victoria
Largest city population 78 thousand
Largest city population, 2050 77 thousand

External debt

not yet fetched
External debt by creditor class, IDS 2025. A creditor class with no bar is one not yet on the card; it is not a zero. The bar stacks the three classes that divide publicly guaranteed debt by type of creditor and add up to it. The three lines below the rule cut the same total a different way, so they belong inside it and never beside it.
  • Multilateralnot yet fetched
  • Other bilateralnot yet fetched
  • Other privatenot yet fetched
  • Eurobonds, of which bonds, inside other privatenot yet fetched
  • Paris Club, of which owed to Paris Club members, across all threenot yet fetched
  • China, of which owed to China, across all threenot yet fetched
  • Total external debt stocknot yet fetched
IDS 2025, debt owed to Chinanot yet fetchedBU CLA, cumulative commitments$0.0bn
The gap between the two is not yet computable: one of the two series is still null. They are different things in any case -- IDS records debt outstanding, the BU database records loan commitments -- so the card sets them side by side rather than netting them.
  • IDS 2025, owed to Chinanot yet fetched
  • BU CLA, cumulative commitments$0.0bn
Field Value
Debt service due 2026-2030 not yet fetched
Eurobonds outstanding not yet fetched
Restructuring status none
Collateralized or resource-backed debt not yet fetched
S&P rating not yet fetched
Moody's rating not yet fetched
Fitch rating not yet fetched

Exports and the balance sheet

Field Value
Top three exports Fish, aqua. invertebrates, prepared, preserved, n.e.s. (SITC 037): 40.4%; Fish, fresh (live or dead), chilled or frozen (SITC 034): 26.0%; Petroleum oils or bituminous minerals > 70 % oil (SITC 334): 19.7%
Commodity dependence 94.1%
Remittances received $0.0bn
Foreign direct investment $0.2bn
Official development assistance $0.0bn
AfCFTA status ratified
PAPSS member no
Afrobarometer lived poverty index 0.36

Data quality

Last census 2022. Last GDP rebase not recorded. Last labour-force survey 2024. SPI 64.5. Reports to the IMF under SDDS. Confidence: medium.The rule: high means a census within fifteen years, an SPI score of 70 or better and a labour-force survey within five years; one failure is medium, two or more failures or a census before 2000 is low, and the flag is left uncomputed when one of the three inputs is itself missing (the rule, and the reasons to argue with it, on the About the data page).

Field Value
WPP estimate basis not recorded
Climate vulnerability low
Fragility not on the FCS list

Census: 2022 Population and Housing Census, provisional results report, NBS Seychelles. LFS: Labour Force Survey 2024 in the ILO survey catalogue; the NBS has run an LFS on roughly a five-year cycle since 1985. Standard: Seychelles has SDDS DQAF metadata pages on the DSBB; the subscription year was not sourced. Rebase: not sourced.

The shelf

The latest reports on this country from the Fund and the Bank. Each line under “what it argued” is the publisher's own summary, quoted, not a paraphrase; where a summary says nothing the line is blank. A country with no Article IV consultation in the last three years says so, with the report that establishes it.

Report What it argued
IMF Article IV2026 Article IV Consultation, Fifth and Sixth Reviews Under the Arrangement Under the Extended Fund…IMF · June 2026 · No. 2026/122Ch. 21 “This paper presents Seychelles’ 2026 Article IV Consultation, Fifth and Sixth Reviews under the Arrangements under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and the Arrangements under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility, and Request for a Waiver for Nonobservance of a Performance Criterion.”IMF, abstract of Country Report No. 2026/122

Sources

Numbers on this card were last refreshed on 25 October 2026.

Release behind this card Last pulled
African Union AfCFTA signature and ratification register 25 October 2026
Africapolis 2025 25 October 2026
Afrobarometer Round 9 lived-poverty index 25 October 2026
Boston University Chinese Loans to Africa database, 2000-2024 25 October 2026
ILO modelled estimates, November 2025 25 October 2026
IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2026 13 September 2026
ND-GAIN Country Index, 2026 release 25 October 2026
PAPSS Payments Network Coverage sheet 25 October 2026
UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant Not recorded
UNCTADstat merchandise trade matrix 25 October 2026
World Bank Group FY26 list of fragile and conflict-affected situations 25 October 2026
World Bank Statistical Performance Indicators 25 October 2026
World Bank World Development Indicators 25 October 2026
World Bank World Development Indicators, cross-border flows 25 October 2026
hand-entered Not pulled
Field on this page Where the number comes from
AfCFTA status African Union AfCFTA signature and ratification register (22/05/2026)
Afrobarometer lived poverty index Afrobarometer Round 9 lived-poverty index, 2022 observation
Chinese loan commitments, cumulative Boston University Chinese Loans to Africa database, 2000-2024
Climate vulnerability ND-GAIN Country Index, 2026 release, 2024 observation
Commodity dependence UNCTADstat merchandise trade matrix, 2025 observation
Dependency ratio UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant
Foreign direct investment World Bank World Development Indicators, cross-border flows, 2025 observation
Fragility World Bank Group FY26 list of fragile and conflict-affected situations
GDP IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2026, 2025 observation
GDP at PPP IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2026, 2025 observation
GDP growth, five-year forecast IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2026, 2030 observation
GDP per capita IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2026, 2025 observation
Identity window UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant
IMF dissemination standard Hand-entered, cited to dsbb.imf.org/sdds/dqaf-base/country/SYC/category/…
Informal employment share ILO modelled estimates, November 2025, 2024 observation
Largest city Africapolis 2025, 2025 observation
Largest city population Africapolis 2025, 2025 observation
Largest city population, 2050 Africapolis 2025, 2050 observation
Last census Hand-entered, cited to www.nbs.gov.sc/downloads/1308-seychelles-populati…
Last labour-force survey Hand-entered, cited to www.ilo.org/surveyLib/index.php/catalog/8844
Median age UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant
Observed GDP growth IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2026, 2024 observation
Official development assistance World Bank World Development Indicators, cross-border flows, 2017 observation
PAPSS member PAPSS Payments Network Coverage sheet (June 2026)
Population, 2024 UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant
Population, 2050 UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant
Population, 2100 UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant
Remittances received World Bank World Development Indicators, cross-border flows, 2025 observation
Restructuring status Hand-entered, cited to clubdeparis.org/en/sites/clubdeparis/accueil/pays…
Statistical Performance Indicators score World Bank Statistical Performance Indicators
Top three exports UNCTADstat merchandise trade matrix, 2025 observation
Total fertility rate UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant
Urban share World Bank World Development Indicators, 2025 observation
Working-age population growth (15-64) UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant
Youth not in employment, education or training ILO modelled estimates, November 2025, 2024 observation

Card schema african-economic-future/country_card/v1, built 2026-10-25. The release behind each key, and the day each was last pulled, are listed on the About the data page, and the record behind this page is one of the fifty-four in cards.csv and cards.json.

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