Algeria

The country card for Algeria: the growth identity’s three terms, population and output, external debt by creditor and the data-quality flag, each with its source.
DZA Algiers · North Africa Confidence: medium
Growth-pole chapters
no growth-pole chapter
Pole types
none assigned
Regional communities
AMU, CEN-SAD
Currency
DZD (DA), managed float
Official languages
ar, ber, fr

VintagesWEO April 2026WDI pulled 25 October 2026IDS 2025 (December 2025 release)WPP 2024, medium variantLast refreshed 25 October 2026About the data

The identity

GDP growth is output-per-worker growth plus growth in the employment-to-working-age ratio plus working-age population growth. All three are annual growth rates, so the bar adds.

0Output per worker: +1.04% a yearEmployment-to-working-age ratio: -0.25% a yearWorking-age population (15-64): +1.28% a yearimplied: +2.07% a yearimplied +2.07%observed: +2.08% a yearobserved +2.08%= 0.5 percentage points a year
Growth accounting over 2014-2024. Terms stack away from zero and add to the implied growth rate, which is marked against observed GDP growth on the same scale. A hatched block is a term not yet on the card: it is parked at the right, carries no width, and holds the sum back rather than letting a missing number pass as zero. Implied minus observed: -0.01 percentage points.
  • Output per worker+1.04%
  • Employment-to-working-age ratio-0.25%
  • Working-age population (15-64)+1.28%
  • Observed GDP growth+2.08%
  • Implied (the three terms summed)+2.07%
Overlay (beside the bar, never inside it) Value
Wage employment share 69.6%
Non-agricultural employment share 90.3%
Employment rate, women 11.3%
Employment rate, men 60.5%
Youth not in employment, education or training 20.9%
Productivity growth, within-sector not yet fetched
Productivity growth, between-sector not yet fetched
Wage employment source ILO-modelled-employees

Generative-AI exposure: 3.1 percent of employment in the most exposed occupations (gradient 4 of the ILO's 2025 index). This is the book's estimate, not an ILO figure: the index's occupation gradients weighted by labour-force survey employment in major occupation groups, 2014. Beside the bar, never inside it: it is a share, not a growth rate.

Population path

46.8m202459.6m205064.5m2100
Total population, three WPP 2024 medium-variant anchor years. The cards carry totals only, not age structure, so this is a path and not a pyramid.
  • Population, 202446.8 million
  • Population, 205059.6 million
  • Population, 210064.5 million
  • Median age28.4 years
  • Total fertility rate2.72 births per woman
  • Dependency ratio58.5 per 100 of working age

Output

Levels are the IMF’s April 2026 estimates for 2025, with the World Bank’s most recent published year standing in where the IMF publishes no figure for this country. Observed growth is over the same window as the identity above, and the forecast runs five years out.

Field Value
GDP $285.7bn
GDP per capita $6,047
GDP at PPP $882.0bn
Observed GDP growth +2.08%
GDP growth, five-year forecast +2.93%
Urban share 75.8%
Informal employment share not yet fetched
Largest city Algiers
Largest city population 6.0 million
Largest city population, 2050 8.3 million

External debt

Multilateral: $0.72bnOther bilateral: $0.13bnNot split by the IDS creditor classes: $6.05bn$0bn$6.9bn
External debt by creditor class, IDS 2025. The classes shown cover $0.85bn of a $6.90bn stock; the grey remainder is debt the IDS creditor split does not assign here. A creditor class with no bar is one not yet on the card; it is not a zero. The bar stacks the three classes that divide publicly guaranteed debt by type of creditor and add up to it. The three lines below the rule cut the same total a different way, so they belong inside it and never beside it.
  • Multilateral$0.7bn
  • Other bilateral$0.1bn
  • Other private$0.0bn
  • Eurobonds, of which bonds, inside other privatenot yet fetched
  • Paris Club, of which owed to Paris Club members, across all three$0.1bn
  • China, of which owed to China, across all three$0.1bn
  • Total external debt stock$6.9bn
IDS 2025, debt owed to China$0.1bnBU CLA, cumulative commitments$0.0bn
The recorded debt stock exceeds cumulative commitments by $0.02bn, the usual wedge between what was promised, what was drawn, and what has been repaid.
  • IDS 2025, owed to China$0.1bn
  • BU CLA, cumulative commitments$0.0bn
Field Value
Debt service due 2026-2030 $0.4bn
Eurobonds outstanding not yet fetched
Restructuring status none
Collateralized or resource-backed debt not yet fetched
S&P rating not yet fetched
Moody's rating not yet fetched
Fitch rating not yet fetched

Exports and the balance sheet

Field Value
Top three exports Natural gas, whether or not liquefied (SITC 343): 36.5%; Petroleum oils, oils from bitumin. materials, crude (SITC 333): 25.6%; Petroleum oils or bituminous minerals > 70 % oil (SITC 334): 21.7%
Commodity dependence 94.5%
Remittances received $1.7bn
Foreign direct investment $1.5bn
Official development assistance $0.2bn
AfCFTA status ratified
PAPSS member no
Afrobarometer lived poverty index not yet fetched

Data quality

Last census 2022. Last GDP rebase not recorded. Last labour-force survey 2024. SPI 55.2. Reports to the IMF under e-GDDS. Confidence: medium.The rule: high means a census within fifteen years, an SPI score of 70 or better and a labour-force survey within five years; one failure is medium, two or more failures or a census before 2000 is low, and the flag is left uncomputed when one of the three inputs is itself missing (the rule, and the reasons to argue with it, on the About the data page).

Field Value
WPP estimate basis not recorded
Climate vulnerability low
Fragility not on the FCS list

Census: the 6th RGPH was enumerated 25 Sept-16 Oct 2022; final results announced May 2023. LFS: ONS employment survey, October 2024 round, published February 2025 (employment 12.055m, employment rate 36.4%); ONS employment surveys were absent from the catalogue between 2019 and 2023. Rebase: a World Bank country update refers to a first GDP rebasing in 2023/24 but no ONS publication year was sourced. Dissemination standard: no DSBB country page or IMF press release surfaced; dsbb.imf.org is blocked from this environment.

The shelf

The latest reports on this country from the Fund and the Bank. Each line under “what it argued” is the publisher's own summary, quoted, not a paraphrase; where a summary says nothing the line is blank. A country with no Article IV consultation in the last three years says so, with the report that establishes it.

Report What it argued
IMF Article IV2026 Article IV ConsultationIMF · September 2026 · No. 2026/252Ch. 10Ch. 21Ch. 37 “The 2026 Article IV Consultation discusses that Algeria is seeking to enhance economic growth and resilience and diversify its economy away from hydrocarbons.”IMF, abstract of Country Report No. 2026/252
IMF Selected IssuesSelected IssuesIMF · April 2024 · No. 2024/089Ch. 21 “This Selected Issues paper examines the macroeconomic and fiscal implications of climate change in Algeria. It highlights a range of risks associated with the projected shifts in weather patterns and Algeria’s own hydrocarbon-reliant growth model in the context of the global energy transition.”IMF, abstract of Country Report No. 2024/089
World Bank country updateAlgeria Economic Update : Responding to Climate Challenges and Supporting Sustainable Development - Fall 2025World Bank · 3 December 2025 · No. 206945Ch. 21Ch. 37 “During H1-2025, non-extractive sectors and dynamic investment supported economic growth. Inflation continued decelerating in the first nine months of 2025, driven by decreasing food prices.”World Bank, abstract of report no. 206945 in Documents & Reports

Sources

Numbers on this card were last refreshed on 25 October 2026.

Release behind this card Last pulled
African Union AfCFTA signature and ratification register 25 October 2026
Africapolis 2025 25 October 2026
Boston University Chinese Loans to Africa database, 2000-2024 25 October 2026
ILO modelled estimates, November 2025 25 October 2026
IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2026 13 September 2026
ND-GAIN Country Index, 2026 release 25 October 2026
PAPSS Payments Network Coverage sheet 25 October 2026
UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant Not recorded
UNCTADstat merchandise trade matrix 25 October 2026
World Bank Group FY26 list of fragile and conflict-affected situations 25 October 2026
World Bank International Debt Statistics 2025 25 October 2026
World Bank Statistical Performance Indicators 25 October 2026
World Bank World Development Indicators 25 October 2026
World Bank World Development Indicators, cross-border flows 25 October 2026
hand-entered Not pulled
derived here from the three identity terms Not pulled
Field on this page Where the number comes from
AfCFTA status African Union AfCFTA signature and ratification register (22/05/2026)
Chinese loan commitments, cumulative Boston University Chinese Loans to Africa database, 2000-2024
Climate vulnerability ND-GAIN Country Index, 2026 release, 2024 observation
Commodity dependence UNCTADstat merchandise trade matrix, 2025 observation
Debt service due 2026-2030 World Bank International Debt Statistics 2025 (2026-2030)
Dependency ratio UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant
Employment rate, men ILO modelled estimates, November 2025, 2024 observation
Employment rate, women ILO modelled estimates, November 2025, 2024 observation
Employment-to-working-age growth ILO modelled estimates, November 2025, 2024 observation
External debt stock World Bank International Debt Statistics 2025
Foreign direct investment World Bank World Development Indicators, cross-border flows, 2025 observation
Fragility World Bank Group FY26 list of fragile and conflict-affected situations
GDP IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2026, 2025 observation
GDP at PPP IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2026, 2025 observation
GDP growth, five-year forecast IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2026, 2030 observation
GDP per capita IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2026, 2025 observation
Identity window UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant
IMF dissemination standard Hand-entered, cited to dsbb.imf.org/e-gdds/important-dates-history
Implied GDP growth derived here from the three identity terms
Largest city Africapolis 2025, 2025 observation
Largest city population Africapolis 2025, 2025 observation
Largest city population, 2050 Africapolis 2025, 2050 observation
Last census Hand-entered, cited to dgpp.industrie.gov.dz/fr/rgph-2022/
Last labour-force survey Hand-entered, cited to algerie-eco.com/2025/02/28/emploi-et-taux-de-chom…
Median age UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant
Non-agricultural employment share ILO modelled estimates, November 2025, 2024 observation
Observed GDP growth IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2026, 2024 observation
Official development assistance World Bank World Development Indicators, cross-border flows, 2023 observation
Output per worker growth ILO modelled estimates, November 2025, 2024 observation
Owed to China World Bank International Debt Statistics 2025, 2024 observation
Owed to multilaterals World Bank International Debt Statistics 2025
Owed to other bilaterals World Bank International Debt Statistics 2025
Owed to other private creditors World Bank International Debt Statistics 2025
Owed to Paris Club creditors World Bank International Debt Statistics 2025, 2024 observation
PAPSS member PAPSS Payments Network Coverage sheet (June 2026)
Population, 2024 UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant
Population, 2050 UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant
Population, 2100 UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant
Remittances received World Bank World Development Indicators, cross-border flows, 2025 observation
Restructuring status Hand-entered, cited to clubdeparis.org/en/sites/clubdeparis/accueil/pays…
Statistical Performance Indicators score World Bank Statistical Performance Indicators
Top three exports UNCTADstat merchandise trade matrix, 2025 observation
Total fertility rate UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant
Urban share World Bank World Development Indicators, 2025 observation
Wage employment share ILO modelled estimates, November 2025, 2024 observation
Wage employment source ILO modelled estimates, November 2025, 2024 observation
Working-age population growth (15-64) UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant
Youth not in employment, education or training ILO modelled estimates, November 2025, 2017 observation

Card schema african-economic-future/country_card/v1, built 2026-10-25. The release behind each key, and the day each was last pulled, are listed on the About the data page, and the record behind this page is one of the fifty-four in cards.csv and cards.json.

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