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Employment Rents and the Incidence of Strikes

Literature › Works

Juliet B. Schor; Samuel Bowles (1987). Employment Rents and the Incidence of Strikes. The Review of Economics and Statistics 69(4). MIT Press.

Type journal article
Scope Comparative and methods
Method econometric
Period studied 1955–1983
Regions United States
Themes unions strikes, labour markets wages, comparative theory, methods data sources
Citation key schor1987

Argument

The authors propose the 'employment rent', or cost of job loss, as a measure of labour-market tightness: the expected income lost in a year if a representative worker loses a job. They argue that when this cost is low, unions are less able to stop members and non-members from accepting wages below the union demand. Strikes are then more likely to succeed, and workers strike more often. An OLS strike-incidence model for the US (1955-81, extended to 1983) shows the lagged cost of job loss, with the interest rate, explains most of the variance in strikers as a share of union members. The conventional unemployment rate does far worse. The paper is a US study and has no South African content.

Evidence and method

US aggregate annual time series: BLS strikers data, union membership (Troy and Sheflin), contract renewals, vendor performance (BEA Business Conditions Digest), interest rates (CEA), after-tax profit rate (Bowles, Gordon and Weisskopf), Weisskopf's after-tax earnings, unemployment duration for job losers (Duguay and Treyz), and social welfare benefit estimates. Sources are listed in the appendix.